Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004194 0.004407 0.004626 0.004868 0.005128 0.005400 0.005706
2025-11-16 0.003802 0.004113 0.004446 0.004830 0.005263 0.005737 0.006299
2025-11-23 0.003569 0.003937 0.004342 0.004823 0.005383 0.006018 0.006801
2025-11-30 0.003355 0.003755 0.004206 0.004753 0.005407 0.006171 0.007141
2025-12-07 0.003184 0.003608 0.004094 0.004696 0.005432 0.006312 0.007461
2025-12-14 0.003064 0.003511 0.004031 0.004688 0.005507 0.006508 0.007852
2025-12-21 0.002892 0.003343 0.003872 0.004551 0.005411 0.006482 0.007949
2025-12-28 0.002813 0.003281 0.003838 0.004564 0.005498 0.006687 0.008355
2026-01-04 0.002760 0.003246 0.003835 0.004612 0.005631 0.006953 0.008853
2026-01-11 0.002674 0.003169 0.003773 0.004581 0.005656 0.007075 0.009157
2026-01-18 0.002606 0.003109 0.003731 0.004572 0.005708 0.007232 0.009515
2026-01-25 0.002531 0.003039 0.003672 0.004538 0.005722 0.007335 0.009799
2026-02-01 0.002506 0.003031 0.003694 0.004611 0.005887 0.007660 0.010433
2026-02-08 0.002436 0.002965 0.003636 0.004576 0.005899 0.007765 0.010742
2026-02-15 0.002383 0.002917 0.003601 0.004569 0.005949 0.007926 0.011145
2026-02-22 0.002311 0.002842 0.003527 0.004504 0.005913 0.007957 0.011340
2026-03-01 0.002247 0.002776 0.003463 0.004451 0.005890 0.008005 0.011565
2026-03-08 0.002204 0.002736 0.003432 0.004444 0.005933 0.008154 0.011962
2026-03-15 0.002119 0.002638 0.003321 0.004317 0.005793 0.008013 0.011862
2026-03-22 0.002088 0.002611 0.003306 0.004328 0.005861 0.008198 0.012330
2026-03-29 0.002069 0.002602 0.003314 0.004373 0.005980 0.008470 0.012967
2026-04-05 0.002027 0.002559 0.003274 0.004345 0.005985 0.008556 0.013278
2026-04-12 0.001993 0.002527 0.003248 0.004336 0.006020 0.008694 0.013690